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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 18, 2020 at 1am UK
Estadio Akron

Guadalajara
3 - 2
Atlas

Uriel (36'), Macias (41'), Brizuela (85')
Mier (88'), Briseno (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jeraldino (87'), Malcorra (90+5' pen.)
Santamaria (55')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Atlas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtlas
50.18%26.2%23.62%
Both teams to score 46.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62%56.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6%77.4%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88%56.12%
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95%76.05%
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 50.17%
    Atlas 23.62%
    Draw 26.19%
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 23.62%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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