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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 12, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Victoria

Necaxa
1 - 2
Guadalajara

Gonzalez (65')
Dominguez (61')
Delgado (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uriel (67'), Vega (90+5')
Calderon (59')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and CD Guadalajara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawCD Guadalajara
33.83%26.3%39.87%
Both teams to score 52.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28%51.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.5%73.49%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71%29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1%64.9%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51%25.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67%60.32%
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 33.83%
    CD Guadalajara 39.87%
    Draw 26.29%
NecaxaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.83%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.87%


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