Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.