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Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 9, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Padilla (38'), Beltran (40'), Cisneros (80')
Briseno (45+6'), Calderon (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bilbao (45+7' pen.)
Zaldivar (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis performed very well in their opening game, and they really should have taken more, so they are likely to give Guadalajara a very tough test on Saturday evening. That said, the hosts were a far superior side last season, and they recorded a win in their first game of the season, so we expect them to follow it up with a narrow victory at the Akron Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtletico San Luis
58.87% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 22.5% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 18.63% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.323 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (-0.351 -0.35)47.55% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25% (-0.323 -0.32)69.75% (0.328 0.33)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)15.81% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)44.97% (0.202 0.2)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (-0.304 -0.3)39.44% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87% (-0.282 -0.28)76.13% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 58.86%
    Atletico San Luis 18.63%
    Draw 22.5%
CD GuadalajaraDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-3 Tigres
Monday, May 29 at 2.35am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Guadalajara
Friday, May 26 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-3 Guadalajara
Monday, May 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-1 America
Friday, May 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Atlas
Monday, May 15 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Monterrey
Sunday, July 2 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-2 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, May 14 at 4.16am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-3 America
Thursday, May 11 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, April 30 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, April 23 at 12am in Liga MX


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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