Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 9, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio AKRON
We said: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis performed very well in their opening game, and they really should have taken more, so they are likely to give Guadalajara a very tough test on Saturday evening.
That said, the hosts were a far superior side last season, and they recorded a win in their first game of the season, so we expect them to follow it up with a narrow victory at the Akron Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
58.87% ( 0.04) | 22.5% ( 0.05) | 18.63% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.32) |
| 52.46% ( -0.35) | 47.55% ( 0.35) |
| 30.25% ( -0.32) | 69.75% ( 0.33) |
| 84.19% ( -0.11) | 15.81% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.03% ( -0.2) | 44.97% ( 0.2) |
| 60.56% ( -0.3) | 39.44% ( 0.31) |
