Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 19, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Akron
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Club America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Club America in this match.
Result |
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Club America |
26.49% ( -0.76) | 24.02% ( -0.07) | 49.49% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.42) |
54.65% ( -0.25) | 45.35% ( 0.25) |
32.31% ( -0.24) | 67.69% ( 0.24) |
69.11% ( -0.71) | 30.89% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( -0.84) | 67.17% ( 0.84) |
81.6% ( 0.23) | 18.4% ( -0.23) |