Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
