SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Club Tijuana |
50.64% ( 0.11) | 26.13% ( -0.01) | 23.24% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( -0.04) | 56.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( -0.03) | 77.44% ( 0.03) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( 0.03) | 22.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.15% ( 0.05) | 55.85% ( -0.05) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.12) | 39.75% ( 0.12) |
