Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
Result | ||
Juarez | Draw | Pumas |
45.3% ( -0.37) | 25.24% ( -0.12) | 29.46% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% ( 0.78) | 48.77% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.12% ( 0.7) | 70.87% ( -0.7) |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% ( 0.16) | 21.53% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% ( 0.24) | 54.6% ( -0.24) |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( 0.76) | 30.46% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% ( 0.89) | 66.67% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Juarez | Draw | Pumas |
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.46% |
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