Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Juarez
52.32% ( 0.06)	24.42% ( -0.02)	23.26% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

0.04)

49.89% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

0.04)

71.88% (

-0.04)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

0.04)

19.03% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

0.07)

50.61% (

-0.07)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-0.02)

36.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

-0.02)

72.85% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Toluca 52.32%

Juarez 23.26%

Draw 24.42%

Toluca	Draw	Juarez
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 23.26%