Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.