Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juarez in this match.