Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.