Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.