Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Club America in this match.