Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.