Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
