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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 31, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
4 - 1
Queretaro

Aldrete (23'), Pineda (37'), Rodriguez (45'), Hernandez (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sepulveda (42')
Ramirez (68'), Pablo Meza (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Queretaro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawQueretaro
58.56%23.17%18.27%
Both teams to score 48.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23%50.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34%72.66%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96%17.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8%47.2%
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.26%41.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79%78.21%
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 58.55%
    Queretaro 18.27%
    Draw 23.16%
Cruz AzulDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 5.74%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 58.55%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.22%
1-2 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.27%

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