Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.