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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 17, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Victoria

Necaxa
2 - 0
Tijuana

Gonzalez (4'), Arce (81')
Dominguez (45+1'), Salas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lorona (66'), Gomez (80'), Cortizo (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Tijuana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
45.13%26.94%27.92%
Both teams to score 48.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68%56.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65%77.34%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13%24.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53%59.46%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42%35.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65%72.34%
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 45.13%
    Club Tijuana 27.92%
    Draw 26.94%
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.14%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.92%


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