Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.