Necaxa
3 - 2
Toluca

Passerini (31'), Bilbao (61'), Zendejas (90+1')
Zendejas (56'), Gonzalez (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cabrera (18' og.), Sambueza (72')
Ortega (14'), Estrada (34'), Sambueza (45+4'), da Silva (53'), Canelo (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
42.64%	27.21%	30.15%

Both teams to score 48.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68%

56.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65%

77.35%

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87%

26.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8%

61.19%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13%

33.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46%

70.54%

Score Analysis

Necaxa 42.64%

Toluca 30.15%

Draw 27.2%

Necaxa	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.64%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.15%