Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Queretaro
45.87% ( 0.1)	26.4% ( -0.01)	27.73% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.87% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64% (

-0.02)

54.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26% (

-0.02)

75.74% (

0.02)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

0.04)

23.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

0.06)

57.74% (

-0.06)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.31% (

-0.09)

34.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.59% (

-0.09)

71.41% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Pumas 45.86%

Queretaro 27.73%

Draw 26.39%

Pumas	Draw	Queretaro
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.86%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.73%