Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Tigres win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.15) 
