Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.