Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
