Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.