Pumas
5 - 0
Toluca

Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Toluca
45.54%	28.44%	26.02%

Both teams to score 43.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.59%

62.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.96%

82.04%

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54%

27.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05%

62.95%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44%

40.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84%

77.16%

Score Analysis

Pumas 45.53%

Toluca 26.02%

Draw 28.44%

Pumas	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.72% Total : 45.53%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.02%