Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.