Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.