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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 0
Tijuana

Sambueza (8'), Maidana (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
49.27%24.12%26.62%
Both teams to score 56.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98%68.02%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38%18.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08%49.92%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72%67.28%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 49.27%
    Club Tijuana 26.62%
    Draw 24.11%
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.62%


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