Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
