Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.
