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A
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
L

Angers
1 - 2
Lille

Fulgini (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
David (10'), Yilmaz (45+1' pen.)
Sanches (75'), Celik (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawLille
29.87%27.11%43.02%
Both teams to score 49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93%56.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85%77.15%
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38%70.62%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18%25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22%60.78%
Score Analysis
    Angers 29.87%
    Lille 43.01%
    Draw 27.11%
AngersDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 11.86%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 8.03%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.01%

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