Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
