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LL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
L

Lens
0 - 3
Lille


Michelin (29'), Fortes (67')
Michelin (35')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yilmaz (4' pen., 40'), David (60')
Araujo (39'), Fonte (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLille
35.98%27.22%36.8%
Both teams to score 50.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77%55.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54%76.46%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62%29.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64%65.36%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12%28.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25%64.75%
Score Analysis
    Lens 35.98%
    Lille 36.79%
    Draw 27.21%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.79%

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