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L
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
M

Lille
1 - 1
Montpellier

Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Delort (21')
Mollet (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
54.51%24.16%21.33%
Both teams to score 50.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13%50.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25%72.74%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44%18.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18%49.82%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52%38.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77%75.22%
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.49%
    Montpellier HSC 21.33%
    Draw 24.15%
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.33%

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