Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
