SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 61.5% | 20.56% | 17.94% |
| Both teams to score 56.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% | 40.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% | 62.39% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% | 12.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.42% | 38.58% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% | 35.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.45% | 72.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.69% 4-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.66% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-1 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.94% |
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