Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.