SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
24.27% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 51.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( -0.24) | 49.1% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% ( -0.22) | 71.17% ( 0.21) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.19) | 34.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( -0.2) | 71.45% ( 0.2) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( -0.09) | 19.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( -0.14) | 50.79% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.27% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.25% |
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