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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
R

Lorient
2 - 0
Reims

Bamba (70'), Bakayoko (87')
Abergel (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stambouli (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Reims

The momentum may be with a Lorient side who consistently make the net ripple at home, but it is at the other end of the Stade du Moustoir turf where Les Merlus' problems lie, and 20 home goals shipped so far this term is a division high. With Reims also receiving two timely boosts in the form of Ito and Nakamura's returns, we expect Still's side to make it three wins on the trot against their hosts, who will be sent crashing back down to earth and potentially bottom spot with an 11th loss of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawReims
24.8% (-0.429 -0.43) 23.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 51.95% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.567 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-0.542 -0.54)43.37% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23% (-0.536 -0.54)65.77% (0.53700000000001 0.54)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-0.63600000000001 -0.64)31.18% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48% (-0.748 -0.75)67.52% (0.75 0.75)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)46.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 24.8%
    Reims 51.95%
    Draw 23.25%
LorientDrawReims
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 24.8%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.204 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-3 Le Havre
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 4-0 Lorient
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 2-2 Reims (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-3 Reims
Saturday, January 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dinan Lehon 0-3 Reims
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Le Havre
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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