Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
