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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
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Lyon
4 - 1
Monaco

Depay (12'), Toko Ekambi (34', 44'), Aouar (41' pen.)
Kadewere (22'), Diomande (73'), Mendes (83')
Bard (89')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Ben Yedder (48' pen.)
Sidibe (40'), Matsima (50'), Aguilar (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMonaco
48.16%25.69%26.15%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76%74.23%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15%21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93%55.07%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24%71.75%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 48.16%
    Monaco 26.15%
    Draw 25.68%
LyonDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.15%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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