SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 48.16% | 25.69% | 26.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% | 52.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% | 74.23% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% | 21.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.07% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% | 35.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.24% | 71.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.15% |
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