Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.