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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II
S

Monaco
3 - 2
Strasbourg

Ben Yedder (9', 53'), Aguilar (45+1')
Tchouameni (21'), Ballo-Toure (40')
Tchouameni (55'), Disasi (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chahiri (46'), Ajorque (70' pen.)
Thomasson (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawStrasbourg
53.07%24.6%22.33%
Both teams to score 50.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46%51.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66%73.34%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62%19.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.82%51.18%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13%37.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36%74.64%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 53.06%
    Strasbourg 22.33%
    Draw 24.6%
MonacoDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.33%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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