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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
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St Etienne
2 - 0
Strasbourg

Bouanga (57' pen.), Camara (82')
Neyou (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bellegarde (7'), Sissoko (39'), Djiku (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawStrasbourg
44.57%27.38%28.05%
Both teams to score 47.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.15%57.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43%78.57%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16%25.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2%60.8%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91%73.09%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 44.56%
    Strasbourg 28.05%
    Draw 27.38%
Saint-EtienneDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 28.05%


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