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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
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Lorient
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Wissa (51'), Grbic (60' pen.), Hamel (87')
Boisgard (69'), Wadja (72'), Laporte (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chahiri (30')
Simakan (37'), Carole (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawStrasbourg
44.1%27.42%28.48%
Both teams to score 47.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.21%57.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48%78.52%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95%26.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91%61.09%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29%72.71%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 44.1%
    Strasbourg 28.48%
    Draw 27.42%
LorientDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.1%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 28.48%


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