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BL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
LL

Brest
3 - 2
Lorient

Perraud (30'), Mounie (32'), Honorat (62')
Belkebla (4'), Mbock (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Herelle (34' og.), Monconduit (90+1')
Hamel (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLorient
35.11%26.59%38.29%
Both teams to score 52.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22%52.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59%74.4%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45%64.54%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85%62.14%
Score Analysis
    Brest 35.11%
    Lorient 38.28%
    Draw 26.59%
BrestDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.28%


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