Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.