Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Lille had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Clermont in this match.