Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
