Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
