SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 8.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.53%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 8.07% | 14.26% | 77.66% |
| Both teams to score 47.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.78% | 57.22% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.69% | 48.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.54% | 83.46% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% | 7.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.45% | 26.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 2.59% 2-1 @ 2.45% 2-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.1% Total : 8.07% | 1-1 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.55% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.26% | 0-2 @ 12.1% 0-3 @ 10.53% 0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 7.66% 0-4 @ 6.87% 1-4 @ 5% 0-5 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-5 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.82% 0-6 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.14% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.96% Total : 77.65% |
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