Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.54%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.