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PL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
M

PSG
4 - 0
Montpellier

Mbappe (34', 63'), Neymar (60'), Icardi (61')
Neymar (76'), Verratti (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendes (45+1')
Omlin (19')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.54%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
82.54%11.16%6.3%
Both teams to score 51.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.14%25.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.95%46.05%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.41%4.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.28%18.72%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.29%45.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51%81.49%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 82.54%
    Montpellier HSC 6.3%
    Draw 11.16%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
3-0 @ 10.24%
2-0 @ 9.96%
3-1 @ 8.02%
4-0 @ 7.9%
2-1 @ 7.8%
1-0 @ 6.46%
4-1 @ 6.18%
5-0 @ 4.87%
5-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 3.14%
6-0 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 2.42%
6-1 @ 1.96%
5-2 @ 1.49%
7-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 82.54%
1-1 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 3.05%
0-0 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 11.16%
1-2 @ 1.98%
0-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 6.3%

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