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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2020 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
L

Strasbourg
2 - 3
Lyon

Diallo (44'), Aholou (55')
Ajorque (57'), Aholou (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Kadewere (12'), Toko Ekambi (25', 42')
Kadewere (20'), Cornet (45+1'), Toko Ekambi (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLyon
27.39%25.33%47.28%
Both teams to score 52.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69%50.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74%72.25%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64%69.36%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71%21.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77%54.23%
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 27.39%
    Lyon 47.28%
    Draw 25.32%
StrasbourgDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.39%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 4.8%
0-3 @ 4.31%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.28%


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