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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
L

Marseille
1 - 1
Lille

Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Lille had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
46.92%25.34%27.73%
Both teams to score 53.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84%50.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88%72.12%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63%54.37%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54%32.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02%68.98%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 46.92%
    Lille 27.73%
    Draw 25.33%
MarseilleDrawLille
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.73%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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